Projected Score Calculator
Forecast final first-innings totals across conservative, par, and aggressive death-over models.
Projected total
runs at your rate
21 more than at the current rate.
6.0 overs left. At the current 8.00 an over the total is 160; at your rate from here it is 181.
- Current run rate
- 8.00 per over
- Overs remaining
- 6.0
How it's calculated
Projected Score = Current Score + (Overs Remaining × Projected Phase Velocity)
1. Current Run Rate (CRR) = Current Runs ÷ Current Overs 2. Baseline Projection = Current Runs + (Overs Remaining × CRR) 3. Wicket-Adjusted Projection = Incorporates remaining wickets coefficient (each top-order wicket in hand adds ~0.4 rpo to projected death-overs rate).
FAQ
Why is linear projection inaccurate in T20 cricket?
Linear projection ignores that teams intentionally score 30-50% faster in the final 5 overs when top-order batters have survived.
What is the historical average score in IPL matches?
In recent IPL seasons, the average first-innings score across high-scoring venues (like Wankhede or Chinnaswamy) is approximately 185-195 runs.
How do wickets in hand affect projections?
Teams with 7+ wickets in hand can afford to hit freely with zero fear of being bowled out, elevating their projected ceiling significantly.